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Cape Verde 2027 Budget: Risks Warned Over Rising Costs

Cape Verde 2027 Budget: Risks Warned Over Rising Costs

Cape Verde’s Public Finance Council (CFP) has sounded the alarm over a projected 10.5% surge in personnel costs in the proposed 2027 State Budget, even as total government spending is slated to decrease. The independent watchdog warned that rising permanent costs could stifle critical public investment and leave the nation vulnerable to economic shocks.

A Shift Toward Fixed Costs

While the overall budget proposal shows a .1% reduction in total spending, the CFP highlighted a concerning shift in how those funds are allocated. In a statement released to Lusa, the Council noted that the government plans to increase fixed payroll expenses while slashing budgets for non-financial assets—a key driver of public infrastructure and long-term investment.

“Salary increases are not inherently negative, provided they meet actual needs,” the CFP stated. “However, it is vital to ensure they are financed without compromising priority investments or reducing the margin to respond to unforeseen events.”

Opaque Funding for Social Programs

The Council also flagged a lack of transparency regarding the financing of several high-profile social initiatives, including free healthcare, public higher education, and subsidized inter-island travel. According to the report, current documentation does not clarify how entities will be compensated for these services or what financial burdens will be kicked down the road to future generations.

Public Debt Concerns

Although the government expects the public debt-to-GDP ratio to decline, the CFP clarified that this is largely due to nominal economic growth rather than a reduction in borrowing. In absolute terms, the nation’s debt is projected to climb to approximately 308 billion escudos (€2.8 billion) by 2027.

The Council warned that a growing reliance on domestic markets to finance this debt, combined with a significant amount of debt reaching maturity, requires “prudent management” of the national treasury and financing conditions.

Government Perspective: “Caution and Transformation”

Submitted to parliament on October 1, the 2027 State Budget is valued at 101.7 billion escudos (roughly €922 million). The government has characterized the proposal as a balance between “caution” and “transformation.”

“It is a cautious budget, but it also aims to ensure Cape Verdeans feel real change,” said Clóvis Silva, Minister of Justice and Presidency of the Council of Ministers.

To mitigate the impact of global economic volatility, the government has earmarked 1.2 billion escudos (€10.8 million) for fuel price stabilization. “We are creating mechanisms to handle international price fluctuations,” explained Secretary of State for Finance, Maria José Lopes. The budget proposal is currently awaiting its first parliamentary debate.

Image: Pexels – damien Saillet

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